Well worth a watch:
My take: The key to flattening the curve is that it buys time for both the hospital capacity to increase and for testing to increase. Hospital capacity seems to have increased some, but testing is lagging. Whereas Dr. Katz says you can do representative testing with limited testing capacity, this can tell when you have a hot spot, but this doesn't allow you to do contact tracing, making another lockdown the only tool to control it. Contact tracing seems to be a key part to keeping the outbreak under control, which both protects our hospital capacity and prevents millions of people from being infected that may be protected by some possible future vaccine, thus saving thousands of lives.
One key piece of data is emerging - that many more people have been infected by the coronavirus than were previously thought, thus lowering the fatality rate of those infected. But another key piece is missing: it is still not known if that confers immunity. If it does, that strengthens the case to open up the economy sooner.
As is, now that we have been through boot camp, and have gotten used to staying home more and instinctively social distance while wearing a mask when in public, if the economy does "open" it's going to be a rather soft opening as people continue with this new style of living to protect their personal safety.
Allowing states to open up, while also allowing mayors to keep urban hotspots closed, seems like a good balance.




my right to life, safety and good health. I do take heart that most of the most rabid "reopeners" are in "red" states- the people there seem like perfect guinea pigs for the rest of us (Hey, honey, hand me my syringe of Lysol- I need a haircut.").
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