Posted in reply to the post by podfish:
this goes straight to the heart of the problem - and shows why I don't think we're going to see much restriction on gun ownership.
if this seems to be an outlandish and unjustified fear to you, you don't much worry about gummint taking your guns, so you're receptive to regulation. Restrictions just don't seem to be that big a deal, and a few limits on "gun rights" seem equivalent to limits on OHV recreation in public lands - annoying to those who like the activity, but ultimately not a big deal for most.
If you think you're in imminent danger of enslavement, however, the stakes are huge. Any limits put you on a slippery slope to Obamaland where you're told that you can't buy large sodas and have to pay for health care for third-world babies whose parents have snuck into our country, while the parents sit around and collect welfare.
Personally, I think we have a problem where people are too willing to limit the rights of OHV users since they don't participate in the sport themselves. But if people killed schoolkids with dirtbikes, or offed themselves with quads when they were depressed, or backed their rock-crawler over their wives when they were pissed off and drunk, I'd be more receptive to regulation of them. Unfortunately for those of us who don't buy into what I consider a paranoid fantasy of a threatening government and scary gangsters roaming our neighborhoods, there's a huge number of people who think suicides, random killings, and crimes of passion that turn deadly are just the unfortunate but inevitable price to pay. It's not that they don't care about those things (though they tend to think they're strictly attributable to the failings of an individual than to "society"), they're just so scared of the REAL potential threats that we can't limit guns without absolute, incontrovertible evidence that all bad things will be completely stopped by any legal restriction.
so, I think the bottom line is we're screwed. Limiting guns would clearly limit gun violence; I don't think the evidence that gun-violence is unchanged by regulation is particularly convincing. But in the end, that's not the question that gun-ownership advocates want answered. They want to know how to keep the gummint from enslaving them, and the thugs from raping their puppies, and unless you can show them that they're really and truly safe from such an outcome, they damn well need their guns!