Romney leads Obama 52% to 47% among likely voters

https://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-trial-heat-obama-romney.aspx

Election 2012 Likely Voters Trial Heat: Obama vs. Romney
Among likely voters
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Date	Obama	Romney
10/1-7/2012	48	48
10/2-8/2012	47	49
10/3-9/2012	48	48
10/4-10/2012	47	48
10/5-11/2012	47	49
10/6-12/2012	47	49
10/7-13/2012	47	49
10/8-14/2012	47	49
10/9-15/2012	46	50
10/10-16/2012	45	51
10/11-17/2012	45	52
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SOURCE: https://www.gallup.com/
Copyright (c) 2012 Gallup Inc. All rights reserved.

https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/gallup-vs-the-world/

https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...g-state-polls/

"One of the risks in focusing too much on the results of any one poll, like the Gallup national tracking poll, is that you may lose sight of the bigger picture.

On Thursday, that story was one of President Obama continuing to hold leads in most polls of critical states. Of the 13 polls of swing states released on Thursday, Mr. Obama held leads in 11 of them."